Droid an iPod Killer?

Posted November 10, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

I know it’s not fair to compare the droid against the iPhone 3GS or iPhone 3G releases. But what about the original iPhone?

Droid, launch weekend estimates: 100,000.
iPhone: launch weekend estimates: 375,000 ~ 700,000.

Note that the iPhone estimates were apparently overestimates – it’s tough to tally because AT&T only signed up 146,000 customers that weekend and Apple launched it over the end of a quarter and split up the sales between quarters (read the link above – has a pretty good analysis). So does the 100,000 estimate correspond more closely to signups rather than sold units? Perhaps.

But even then, I’d say Droid failed. When the iPhone came out, it was creating a new market – there weren’t nearly as many people interested in smart phones as there are now. To sell even 30% less than the original iPhone that didn’t even have apps or 3G and cost $500 to $600 seems like a pretty big failure. It should have been much closer to the 3G’s launch, which was about 1 million units.

Now whether Android is a failure or not is another matter. What do you do, tally all the Android based phones launching on their original weekend. Will that surpass 1 million by the end of this year? Quite possibly. I don’t think Verizon has changed this back to a network game – it’s still a device game and the better device platform over time will win – whether it’s iPhone or Android.

Petabyte Nearing $100,000

Posted September 2, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

This is an order of magnitude improvement and very significant – Backblaze claims to have their cost for a petabyte of online storage down to $117,000. What they don’t detail is the software and services surrounding the raw drives – which is the more interesting and proprietary information. I don’t blame them for not sharing, but am interested. If I could only get a faster upload :) , the days of online storage might be getting even closer.

4th of July

Posted July 4, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

Two hundred and thirty-three years ago today, fifty-six men, appointed to represent their colonies, made a final vote to approve a document declaring our independence from our mother nation. This document declared not only our independence but the purpose of that independence – the protection of the rights to “Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness” for all men and women.

It is our government’s protection of these rights, perhaps more so than our nation’s Independence, which we rightly celebrate today. Dallin H. Oaks, an Apostle in the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints, wrote in explaining why he believes the Constitution to be divinely inspired:

“I have always felt that the United States Constitution’s closest approach to scriptural stature is in the phrasing of our Bill of Rights. Without the free exercise of religion, America could not have served as the host nation for the restoration of the gospel, which began just three decades after the Bill of Rights was ratified. I also see scriptural stature in the concept and wording of the freedoms of speech and press, the right to be secure against unreasonable searches and seizures, the requirements that there must be probable cause for an arrest and that accused persons must have a speedy and public trial by an impartial jury, and the guarantee that a person will not be deprived of life, liberty, or property without due process of law. President Ezra Taft Benson has said, “Reason, necessity, tradition, and religious conviction all lead me to accept the divine origin of these rights.” 11

The Declaration of Independence had posited these truths to be “self-evident,” that all men “are endowed by their Creator with certain inalienable Rights,” and that governments are instituted “to secure these Rights.” This inspired Constitution was established to provide a practical guarantee of these God-given rights (see D&C 101:77), and the language implementing that godly objective is scriptural to me.” (Dallin H. Oaks, “The Divinely Inspired Constitution,” Ensign, Feb 1992, 68)

A prior Prophet of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints, Ezra Taft Benson declared:

“As expressed so eloquently by John Adams before the signing of the Declaration, “There’s a Divinity which shapes our ends.” 2 Though mortal eyes and minds cannot fathom the end from the beginning, God does.

In a revelation to the Prophet Joseph Smith, the Savior declared, “I established the Constitution of this land, by the hands of wise men whom I raised up unto this very purpose.” (D&C 101:80.) These were not ordinary men, but men chosen and held in reserve by the Lord for this very purpose.”

“President Woodruff declared that “those men who laid the foundation of this American government and signed the Declaration of Independence were the best spirits the God of heaven could find on the face of the earth. They were choice spirits … [and] were inspired of the Lord.” 4 We honor those men today. We are the grateful beneficiaries of their noble work.” (Ezra Taft Benson, “The Constitution—A Glorious Standard,” Ensign, Sep 1987, 6)

Our government and nation has emerged as a spark that has ignited the flame of liberty, the protection of these freedoms that is slowly spreading across the globe. So our celebration becomes of greater importance than simply our nation’s independence, but our world’s adoption of liberty for all men and women.

How then do we celebrate and honor this document, the rights it proclaims, the men, and nation that conceived it and protected it both in the war of 1776 and in all wars since?

John Adams, the driving force behind in Congress for the declaration of independence, requested:

“It ought to be commemorated, as the Day of Deliverance by solemn
Acts of Devotion to God Almighty. It ought to be solemnized with
Pomp and Parade, with Shews, Games, Sports, guns, Bells, Bonfires
and Illuminations from one End of this Continent to the other from
this Time forward forever more. You will think me transported with
Enthusiasm but I am not. I am well aware of the Toil and Blood
and Treasure, that it will cost Us to maintain this Declaration,
and support and defend these States. Yet through all the Gloom
I can see the Rays of ravishing Light and Glory. I can see that
the End is more than worth all the Means. And that Posterity will
tryumph in that Days Transaction, even altho We should rue it,
which I trust in God We shall not.” – John Adams

And so we do – with movies, games, and fireworks. Enjoy your independence day.

Most popular movies based on ticket sales

Posted April 14, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

 

I think the numbers my friend Dave comes up with in his post “Most popular movies based on ticket sales” are more meaningful than just dollars, but I think it also highlights the difficultly of declaring anything the “All-Time” best.

Because I would argue it’s still apples to oranges. The first 6 on the list all have had multiple theatrical re-releases – which counts in the All-Time USA Box office grosses from IMDB. Yet how many movies since 1980 have had a re-release? And even if they have, they must compete against VHS/DVD sales/rentals of themselves. As it stands, with a re-release being unlikely and DVD sales/rentals to compete with, I would argue no modern movie has a chance to knock Snow White or Gone with the Wind off Dave’s ordering – they are over double the ticket sales of Bambi, not to mention any movie made after 1950.

Opening weekend sales might be interesting – but news media may affect how quickly people respond to a good movie. If someone collected initial release only sales figures, that I think would be a more fair comparison – though I don’t know if initial releases were handled differently in the past.

It’s just tough to compare the past to the present.

Is Apple’s 17-Inch MacBook Pro Expensive?

Posted April 1, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

From Technologizer

But I don’t see how you can look at this comparison and declare there’s some sort of unique Mac Tax. High-end laptops tend to command high-end prices, whether the software they run hails from Redmond or Cupertino.

Hey, Lauren! Is Apple’s 17-Inch MacBook Pro Expensive? | Technologizer

I think this exactly nails the issue. There are not alot of choices in the Apple world – that is the weakness. But it isn’t that they are over-priced. They might be over-priced for what you want though. If you want a 17-inch machine just to do email, Apple doesn’t make a cost-effective machine for you. If you want a 17-inch machine for editing video – Apple is competitive.

Steve Jobs: it is corrosive to one’s character to steal

Posted January 30, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

I absolutely love this quote from Steve Jobs. I think it says a lot about morals – things I believe to be True with a capital T. Things that are truly wrong are wrong whether there is a written law to enforce it or not.

And it is self evident to me that in the digital age copying happens continuously. Computers need to copy just to function. But this copying need not equal stealing – there can be ways to reward work and use digital media like music, movies, and software that is copied easily.

David Bowie predicted that because of interent and piracy, copyright is going to be dead in ten years. You agree?

No. If copyright dies, if patents die, if the protection of intellectual property is eroded, then people will stop investing. That hurts everyone. People need to have the incentive that if they invest and succeed, they can make a fair profit. Otherwise they’ll stop investing. But on another level entirely, it’s just wrong to steal. Or, let’s put it another way: it is corrosive to one’s character to steal. We want to provide a legal alternative. And we want to make it so compelling that all those people out there who really want to be honest, and really don’t want to steal, but haven’t had a choice if they wanted to get their music online, will now have a choice. And we think over time, most people stealing music will choose not to if a fair and resonable alternative is presented to them. We are optimists. We always have been.

Steve Jobs: The Rolling Stone Interview : Rolling Stone

Data Protection Day

Posted January 27, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

Tomorrow is data protection day (estabilished by the Council of Europe, US, and Canada). So much of your information is online now – much more than many people realize. And not just on facebook.

Take a moment and learn more about what you can do to protect your information.

Presidents! They’re Just Like Us!

Posted January 22, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

 

Via SarahLacy.com: Obama is still using the Blackberry – and gets distracted by it. Presidents! They’re Just Like Us!

Example of Forgiving

Posted January 21, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

This is a great example of how one should forgive. Great example.

Roberts’ mistake came about half way through the 35-word oath, when, reciting from memory, he said the word ‘faithfully,’ out of order. The flub confused Obama who ultimately repeated the mistake.

But speaking to ABC Tuesday night, the new president didn’t fault the man who swore him in.

“We’re up there, we’ve got a lot of stuff on our mind, and he actually helped me out on a couple of stanzas there,” he said. “So overall, I think it went relatively smoothly and I’m very grateful to him.”

CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time – Blogs from CNN.com

The Mother of All Demos

Posted January 14, 2009 by Jack Richins
Categories: Uncategorized

I am shocked whenever I meet someone with a Computer Science or Computer Engineering degree who has not seen or at least heard of Douglas Engelbart’s “Mother of All Demos”.  This is where it all came from. What to do I mean by all? Everything about how we interact with computers today can be seen in Engelbart’s demo. Am I exaggerating? No!

Look at this list Herb Sutter has compiled of things first demonstrated by Engelbart:

  • The personal computer for dedicated individual use all day long.
  • The mouse.
  • Internetworks.
  • Network service discovery.
  • Live collaboration and desktop/app sharing.
  • Hierarchical structure within a file system and within a document.
  • Cut/copy/paste, with drag-and-drop.
  • Paper metaphor for word processing.
  • Advanced pattern search and macro search.
  • Keyword search and multiple weighted keyword search.
  • Catalog-based information retrieval.
  • Flexible interactive formatting and line drawing.
  • Hyperlinks within a document and across documents.
  • Tagging graphics, and parts of graphics, as hyperlinks.
  • Shared workgroup document collaboration with annotations etc.
  • Live shared workgroup collaboration with live audio/video teleconference in a window.

Link to the complete video.

It’s also instructive to see the things he demonstrated that did not end up in every day use. Like the chorded control he used in conjunction with the mouse.

Engelbart thought it up, Xerox PARC built it and polished it, and then Apple, Microsoft, Netscape, and Google commercialized it. After you watch this video you’ll end up wondering what took 40 years and whether there has been anything truly invented since then. Kind of depressing. But then hopeful if you think that if such a small team could do so much, why not my team and I?